President Biden’s big climate call: The US 2030 target

  • Climate scientist Kevin Anderson estimates annual mitigation rates of 10–12% are required of all developed countries based on the Paris Agreement’s equity principles, which for the US would equate to something like 72–78% below 2005 levels by 2030.
  • Meanwhile, the US Climate Action Network (CAN) is calling for a total US fair share of 195% below 2005 levels, consisting of emissions cuts in the US of at least 70% below 2005 levels and the remainder achieved through financial support to lower-income countries. (If you think a number in excess of 100% sounds out of the realm of political feasibility, it’s worth checking the Bernie Sanders climate plan which took the analysis very seriously.)

2030 per capita estimates based on US Census Bureau projections